The period of October 15-26, 1994, was a time of extreme events in the San Jacinto River Basin near Houston, Texas. Storms of a non-tropical nature dumped up to 76 cm (30 inches) of rain within the San Jacinto basin during October 15-20, 1994. An effective uniform depth (the depth of water if the total rainfall were equally distributed throughout the basin), was 44.5 cm (17.5 inches), the equivalent of 4.5 billion cubic meters (117 billion cubic feet). Lake Houston, a large man-made lake in the lower part of the basin, could have filled and emptied at least 10 times during the flood.
The peak discharge near the mouth of the basin, at Sheldon, TX, was measured by the USGS to be 10,200 m^3/s (360,000 cfs). The recurrence interval ranges from 100 years to 500 years depending on the tributary in the basin. The discharge at the mouth of the river is 1.6 times the computed 100-year discharge for that station.
The purpose of studying this river is that major changes can occur to a river system when disturbed by a high magnitude flood. Major floodplain erosion and deposition are characteristic effects of high magnitude floods. Although there have been many studies of large floods and their effects, none have been done on a low-lying coastal plain river like the San Jacinto. In addition, there have been many changes within the basin due to human exploitation of the basin. Subsidence on the order of 5-6 feet in the study area from groundwater withdrawal from underlying unconsolidated sediments, urbanization fo the basin, ssand mining of the floodplain, flow regulation and sediment starvation from two man-made lakes, and vegetation removal on the floodplain from the mining are just some of the influences man has had on the basin.
This flood is unique because a large amount of rainfall fell within the entire basin, a basin which is by no means small. Although the rain was not evenly distributed, much of the basin received extreme rainfall, in excess of 15 inches.
Erosion and deposition in the study area was extensive. Many homes were either damaged or destroyed not only by standing water, but by rushing water which scoured out the foundations of homes and caused them to either collapse or get taken downstream by the flood flow. Many large stands of trees were scoured out at their bases, taken downstream, and deposited over a wide area. Sand barges measuring 30 ft by 100 ft were transported downstream with two of them being deposited on landowners river front yards. But perhaps the most spectacular aspect of the flooding was a meander cutoff which isolated the Rio Villa point bar. The cutoff was approximately 1 km long and shortened the river's path by 5 km. By cutting through the floodplain, the river exhumed four petroleum products pipelines which were covered by a few feet of unconsolidated floodplain sediments. The pipelines ruptured either from their own unsupported weight or by obstacles flowing down the river. Due to the location of the cutoff and the fact it cut off a point bar which contains tens of homes, the cutoff was mended by several government and private agencies. At least half of the length of the cutoff was as wide as the river itself (300-350 feet) and the rest of the new channel was about 100-200 feet wide.
The meander cutoff was "fixed", many of the homes rebuilt, the pipelines fixed, scours filled and deposits bulldozed away, but the effects of the flood will remain. The study area is extremely vulnerable to another flood, should it come in the near, or not so near future. The location of the meander cutoff has not been completely filled, even if it were it is much more susceptible to erosion that it was even prior to the flood. It seems obvious that the river will eventually adopt this new shorter and steeper course.
It seems obvious that better floodplain management needs to be implemented on the San Jacinto River. The Rio Villa subdivision is primarily built on the unconsolidated natural levee along an active point bar of the river; natural levees are built by the river by overbank flooding. Meandering rivers are active systems which are continually eroding their banks, depositing sediment (sometimes in large volumes), cutting off meanders, and flooding.
On Saturday, October 15, 1994, the remnants of Pacific Hurricane Rosa moved up along the western coast of Mexico. Traversing northeast across Mexico, it flowed a path roughly along the south Texas coast. It then moved over the Houston area and brought moderate precipitation. This initiated very wet antecedent moisture conditions for the storm which would eventually set up over southeast Texas. On Sunday, October 16, a disorganized convection cell moved over the Houston area and became stationary. A stationary front was fed by a low level jet stream that pumped in tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico (figure). These conditions initiated the development of a supercell over the Houston area and the counties immediately to the north.
The rain caused by this stalled system began on October 15 and 16, was heaviest on Monday, October 17, and it continued through Tuesday, October 18. At times the rainfall intensity exceeded 76 mm (3 inches) per hour in parts of the basin (Schwertz, unpublished data). Much of the San Jacinto River Basin received total rainfall amounts in excess of 380 mm (15 inches) as seen in the accompanying figure (Schwertz, unpublished data). Rainfall from two gaging stations within 3 miles of the study area exceeded 230 and 410 mm (9 and 16 inches) respectively over the period of October 15-20 (Harris County Flood Control District, unpublished data). The effect of this rain was to cause a catastrophic flood on the San Jacinto River.
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